The brokerage firm asserts that Indian equities possess the ability to deliver higher returns when compared to other emerging and developed markets. This potential is underpinned by favorable demographics, ongoing reforms, and the progressive digitalization that is formalizing the economy.
To delve into this potential, Goldman Sachs conducted an extensive analysis of 6,700 stocks across ten major markets encompassing emerging and developed economies. The primary objective was to identify "10-baggers," which are stocks that have achieved at least ten times their initial investment within a rolling five-year period over the past two decades.
Among these markets, India stood out with the highest proportion of multibagger stocks. Remarkably, more than half (54%) of the NSE 500, comprising 269 stocks, achieved 10-bagger returns. This figure significantly surpassed the average of 30% for emerging markets and 20% for developed markets.
"The 269 multibagger stocks share several key traits, including high realized growth rates, strong capital return ratios, a bias towards mid/small-cap stocks, attractive starting valuations, a focus on domestic sectors, and high promoter holding," stated the report. The Indian markets have consistently proven to be highly lucrative, outperforming benchmark indices and offering attractive stock returns for investors in emerging markets. Over the past two decades, approximately 60% of the current BSE 200 stocks have outperformed the benchmark index, illustrating their remarkable capacity to generate exceptional returns. Furthermore, almost 40% of these stocks have achieved annualized returns exceeding 20%, which is double the proportion of such stocks in the broader MSCI EM index.
"Given India's impressive historical track record of substantial alpha, we delve into the realm of multibagger stocks, specifically focusing on stocks that have delivered at least 10x returns and studying their common characteristics in the subsequent section," added the Goldman report.
Goldman Sachs highlights India's stable domestic macro environment, with inflation and interest rates reaching their peak and a manageable current account. The country has witnessed improved economic activity, and recent quarterly earnings have surpassed expectations, further supporting the projection of mid-teen earnings growth over the next two years.
Considering these positive factors, the report suggests that the resilient macro environment and improving micro conditions create a favorable landscape for robust medium-term growth. Investors are advised to seriously consider allocating funds to India, with a targeted approach towards specific areas of the market that offer strong potential for future growth.
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